Genesis Invitational picks 2023: Why our experts trust picks Grant has quietly flashed brilliance this year, earning a T-25 at Torrey Pines and a T-20 at Pebble Beach. One surprising pick from McDonald this week: The expert is strongly fading Schauffele, who could struggle even if he is healthy. Combine that with a wild driver, and Spieth will likely be playing out of the thick rough often at Bay Hill, narrowing his path to the top of the leaderboard. Shane Lowry ($10,400 DraftKings | $11,800 FanDuel). His usually reliable driver has let him down, and he hasnt been as precise on his second shots. The only thing worrisome about this play is he hasnt truly contended on the PGA Tour yet, even last week after he grabbed a share of the first round lead. Take me to the League of Legends category page! He is followed by Cantlay (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Tony Finau (15-1) as top contenders in The American Express 2023 field. This week, the PGA Tour is in Detroit for the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club, a track designed by Donald Ross. Shriners: Sungjae Im. If he can just make a few putts, which is conceivable on the slow, paspalum greens, his irons and accuracy should have him hoisting a novelty check. Keep it social. He was finalist for four FSWA Awards in 2020 (Best Podcast, Best Video, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). 1:10 am ET, be sure to check out the PGA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine golf expert Mike McClure, You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks, sleepers, head-to-head matchups, best bets, and his top one and done pick, You can see the rest of McClure's Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bet picks at SportsLine, You can only see his Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets at SportsLine, Visit SportsLine to see McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets, all from the expert who's up over $9,600 since the PGA Tour restart, See the full Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational props, expert picks, Spieth among chasers at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win. Thatll be very useful around Torrey Pines this week. Mayo: Adam Long (-110) over J.J. Spaun (DraftKings) Long hasnt had much juice recently but he is the prototype for a solid result at Mayakoba. His iron play has been downright putrid, and Im not sure he can sustain gaining six strokes on the greens like he has the last two starts. Davis Riley Its like a rite of passage across the United States. Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst: Collin Morikawa (18-1, DraftKings) The results havent been close to elite in the swing season, but thats all 100 percent putting related. All Rights Reserved. Palmer/Scheffler (5.4 percent). PGA Live Before Lock: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Picks. With that in mind, here are our 13 best bets ( odds via DraftKings) to hoist that gold trophy. Though playing from the fairway is important, the course regression model at RickRunGood.com indicates that clubhead speed is more indicative of successonly six other courses were more correlated to success last year. The PGA Tour begins the Florida swing this week with the Honda Classic, which will once again play at PGA National (par 70, 7,125 yards, The PGA Tour continues this week with the first stop on the Florida swing and the Honda Classic. Hes played well at Bay Hill the last two years, but he was in much better lead-in form. Those serve as his only two top-15 finishes over his past 14 starts. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. Yes, hes first in SG/total. Golf course Bay Hill Club and Lodge | Par 72 | 7,466 yards Course comparisons (according to Hes now played 12 times this season, making the cut in 10 starts while earning six finishes of T-32 or better. Lee +6500Rickie Fowler +6500Jason Day +8000Wyndham Clark +8000Joel Dahmen +8000Harris English +8000Chris Kirk +8000Taylor Pendrith +8500Justin Rose +8500Patrick Rodgers +9500Christiaan Bezuidenhout +9500Davis Riley +9500Thomas Detry +9500Denny McCarthy +9500Keith Mitchell +10000Will Gordon +10000David Lipsky +10000Sebastian Munoz +11000Brendan Steele +11000Martin Laird +12000Brendon Todd +12000Luke List +12000Dean Burmester +12000Emiliano Grillo +12000Ben Griffin +12000Stephan Jaeger +12000Alex Smalley +12000Aaron Rai +14000Russell Knox +14000Lee Hodges +14000Jhonattan Vegas +16000Nick Taylor +16000Greyson Sigg +16000Taylor Moore +16000Patton Kizzire +16000Sam Ryder +16000Mark Hubbard +16000Danny Willett +16000Nate Lashley +16000Robby Shelton +17000S.H. CJ Cup: Matt Fitzpatrick. The second-place finish is the Europeans fourth top-12 in his last six events. picks Mayakoba picks 2022: Morikawa or Finau? Our experts Those who can avoid disaster and grind their way through 72 holes will give themselves a chance to hoist the trophy on Sunday night. (Subscribe for video or audio.) Spaun +19000Harris English +19000Byeong Hun An +20000Justin Suh +21000Patrick Rodgers +21000Taylor Pendrith +21000Joel Dahmen +21000Sam Ryder +21000Taylor Moore +22000Emiliano Grillo +22000Kurt Kitayama +22000Joseph Bramlett +23000Danny Willett +23000Ben Griffin +24000Garrick Higgo +24000Francesco Molinari +25000. This run of good form has resulted in two top-10 PGA Tour finishes in his last four events. The Approach: A picks and preview article from Nolan Kelly that uses some of @Awesemos projection for the week! Follow Rob Bolton on Twitter. The Scotsman ranks seventh in the field this week for Opportunities Gained over the last two months and this is the exact style of course where Knox can start taking these opportunities. 1 DFS Player. He nailed the Houston Open, backing Tony Finau to win at 25-1, and is up almost seven units on his plays overall, a profit of nearly $700 for $100 bettors. 2023 Sony Open First Round Leader Picks: Can J.T. Kevin Yu ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,600 FanDuel) Andy Lyons No matter the finishing position, you can He gained 8.42 strokes putting at the Honda Classic. Hes been good not great, but we are being asked to pay for greatness at this price tag. Not surprisingly, the Mississippian ranked third in the field by average 14 greens in regulation per round. Only Rory McIlroy has gained more strokes at Bay Hill than Fitzpatrick, in as many rounds, over the past eight years. Hes one of the most experienced golfers in the field at PGA National, where hes played 10 times, making the cut in all but one. The pro-am event, once known as the Bob Hope Desert Classic, has an average winning score of 24 under par over the past 10 years. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks: Expert picks, best bets for While Im happy for him, Im not buying it just yet. TPC Scottsdale 3. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Viktor Hovland (+100) over Scottie Scheffler (Bet365) As you can see above I dont fancy Schefflers chances this week. RELATED: What to make of LIV Golfs tumultuous inaugural season. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. The PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Florida this week for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Picks I think theyre all viable plays, but the rest of the field is justifiably a tier behind them. Recent Form Cheatsheet: The entire fields current form, going back as far as 10 weeks, and synopsis provided by Jason Rousiln. The American Express picks 2023: Why this is the week Accuracy and irons can most definitely prevail at Mayakoba as long as you make a few putts, and Grillo has actually gained with the putter in eight of his past nine starts; good for five top 10s over that stretch. Expert Picks: Genesis Scottish Open - PGATour Matt Fitzpatrick ($8,800 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). Written by Jason Rouslin and released on Sunday evenings. Toss in four par 5s and scoring conditions during which par will feel like a red number, and it wont matter much that his putting unlikely will impress. The 26-year-old hasn't been great in this event the past two years, but he did finish third in 2020. Harris English ($8,400 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). Palmer was able to grab World No. Hes working on a four-year streak of top-10 finishes, including a runner-up in 2019. Rounds 1 and 3: Best ball There is trouble lurking off nearly every tee shot, and youll certainly see a few big numbers this week. Odds provided byTipico Sportsbook; accessUSA TODAY Sports betting oddsfor a full list. Expert Picks: The Open Championship - PGATour He finished his Korn Ferry Tour season with a win, a third and T-10 all within his last seven starts. RELATED:LIV Golf loses ratings battle to Worlds Funniest Animals? Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (below) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. RELATED:10 golfers who will make you money in the 2022-23 PGA Tour season. List is the most on-brand golfer on tour, rarely doing anything outside his DNA. At $9,900, this is the most expensive Chris Kirk has been on DraftKings since the 2021 Zurich Classic ($10,100)a team event. Gdula: Russell Henley (+410, FanDuel) Henleys profile is a lot like Morikawas: hyper-accurate, elite irons, bad putting. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Its a stat line that is full of red flags. Hes teed it up eight times and has earned just one top 25 in a full-field eventa T-12 at the Sony Open. Strokes gained/approach is also incredibly valuableagain, only six other courses were more correlated to success. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Targets: Is Rory McIlroy Too Chalky? 1. Powers, Golf Digest: Thomas Detry (-110) over Seamus Power (DraftKings) Not sure going against last weeks winner in a matchup has ever worked out in my favor, but I feel good about this one. His best finish over nine starts is a T-26 and hes the only golfer in the field who has played at least 30 rounds here and is losing strokes to the field. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Honda Classic DFS picks 2023: Play this breakout star at PGA National, Max Homa, fighting back tears, says he will win again at Riviera, LIV Golf announces teams, players for 2023; Four PGA Tour players, Pieters officially join league, These are the questions you should be asking yourself before buying new clubs, Brian Urlacher on his proud moment in the WMPO pro-am, an unlikely eagle at Augusta National and making his first ace on a par 4 (! Hes playing well, with three straight top-25 finishes while peppering in three top-10 finishes within his last nine starts. Bay Hill rewards great approach players. picks The pair of Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman enter as the defending champions, while the betting favorites are Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa (+600). Look for these on Wednesday afternoons. Homa and Gooch are great friends off the golf course, and that can help throughout the week. Chris Kirk ($9,900 DraftKings | $11,400 FanDuel). section: | slug: 2023-american-express-picks-predictions-odds-field-top-pga-expert-says-back-scottie-scheffler-this-week | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational DFS: Top FanDuel, DraftKings daily Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. He also ranked second in birdie average (4.6 per round) and fourth in scoring average (69.3). So which 2023 American Express picks should you target? Corey Conners ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). Past results: Golf Digest's betting panel caught fire at the end of the summer, correctly predicting the winner in five of the final six events of the season. A look at past performance charts from Golfstats site founder Sal Johnson shows golfers in the field this year who have finished top-10 multiple times over the last six years include: Rory McIlroy, Marc Leishman, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Tyrrell Hatton, Sungjae Im, Tommy Fleetwood, Chris Kirk, Luke List, Keith Mitchell and Lucas Glover. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. His game can clearly travel and his upside is immense. Immaculate; inching back to peak levels. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational DFS picks 2023: Rory McIlroy's staggering advanced metrics, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion. Hes gained strokes on approach in seven straight starts, something he hasnt done since the fall of 2017 when he was ranked inside the top 10 in the world. Powers: Thomas Detry Might as well attempt to cash in on this hot streak while its happening. Shelton earned a T-20 at Pebble Beach, which marked his third top-20 finish in his past five starts. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Aaron Rai (-125) over Justin Lower (Bet365) Lower has had a solid start to the fall, but Rai is more proven long-term and over the past 24 rounds has better strokes gained/off the tee and approach numbers than Lower. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, World Wide Technology Championship picks 2022: Morikawa or Finau? The uncommon paspalum greens could level the playing field for him as a putter, and that could boost him up big time. Trinity Forest Golf Club, 3. Picks It just doesnt need to. Golf Digest - Joel Beall 2d The PGA Tours designated events for 2024 will feature limited fields and no cuts after the tours Policy Board voted to approve a new structure for the tournaments in a Tuesday night meeting. Day, a 12-time PGA Tour winner, has three straight top-10 finishes and has yet to finish worse than 18th place in 2023. Showdown Spotlight Articles: Released after the conclusion of play each day, this article is to give some ideas for Showdown contests, and updates to the daily action in case one missed it. After a dreadful few years, Tway is playing some of his best golf in recent memorymaking six of his last eight cuts. If youre look for win equity in the 40-1+ range, look no further than J-Day. Bethpage State Park Golf Course 6. The mid-range approaches aren't Schauffele's strength he was 185th on tour from 150-175 yards last season. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. The pair are former roommates and like the Gooch/Homa pair, will have great chemistry on the course. As a U.K.-based expert, Alldricks insight into European Tour regulars and low priced, low owned plays has provided an invaluable edge for readers when it comes to DFS GPPs. Since 2016, hes 6-for-6 in the API with a T10 in 2019. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Honda Classic. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's The Open Championship in this week's edition of the Power Rankings. For more fantasy, check out Rookie Ranking , Qualifiers and Reshuffle. hes lined up to tackle a brutish backdrop, he demands our attention. Will Zalatoris tees off on the tenth during the third round of the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play golf tournament. Zozo: Sungjae Im. Honda Classic DFS picks 2023: Play this breakout star Gdula: Tony Finau (-118) over Aaron Wise (FanDuel) Finau is by far the best in the field over the past 20 rounds, and even using past-year data with recency adjustments, my head-to-head model thinks Finau should be around -135 in this matchup over Wise. Hes accomplished both on and around the greens, which gives him the highest upside and most well-rounded golfer teeing it up. Gehman: Brendon Todd (+500, Bet365) Todd has found magic with his irons twice already during this season. The PGA Tour heads to Palm Beach Gardens, Florida this week for the 2023 Honda Classic, a tournament that features one of the weakest fields, The West Coast swing is officially over, and that means the PGA Tour heads to Florida. Pebble Beach Golf Links 2. Rahm, who won this tournament in 2018 and rallied for victory in his last outing at the Sentry, is the 11-2 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook's latest The American Express 2023 odds. , I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) 2023 Honda Classic Best Bets & Predictions: Fade Matt Kuchar? His last four starts, not including the staggered-start Tour Championship, resulted in two wins and a T-5. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long- and short-form content, owner of the Mayo Media Network and host of The Pat Mayo Experience. Hes also likely to lose a lot of strokes puttinglike he did at Riviera (losing seven strokes/putting), making it 17 straight events losing with that club. Gdula: Maverick McNealy (26-1, FanDuel) I cant suggest fading anyone at 18-1 or shorter. Morikawa is going to contend often this season with this stat profile. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Play with trusted, licensed operators. 2023 Honda Classic Odds & Trends: Shane Lowry & Sunjae Im Lead the Pack. Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+375 = Top 20) His value will be flattened on course history alone -- since his debut in 2020, hes gone T18-7th-T20 but thats OK because its the kind of consistently strong form we want in every investment, not to mention that hes navigated Bay Hill in a variety of conditions to extend that confidence into this weeks fray. Si Woo Kim, fresh off his Sony Open victory last week, also will compete, alongside the likes of Xander Schauffele, Will Zalatoris and Tom Kim. Hennessey: Viktor Hovland An easy case to make to roll with the two-time defending champ. He just missed a massive 130-1 score last week when Hayden Buckley finished second at the Sony Open. Recent form, plus some strong vibes at El Camaleon, have me leaning with him over the Bermuda champ. Poston +5000Sahith Theegala +5000Adam Hadwin +5000Andrew Putnam +5500K.H. After one of the most memorable California Swings in recent memory, the PGA Tour kicks off its Florida Swing this week at the Honda Classic. But hes certainly gaining on it, with three top-25 finishes in his last seven starts on tour. Get Golf picks and synopsis provided by Jason Rouslin. Highlighted by The Bear Trap, one of the most difficult three-hole stretches on tour, the winning score of this event is routinely in single digits under-par. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Justin Thomas ($9,600 DraftKings | $11,300 FanDuel). Instead, the golfing world is heading to Vidanta Vallarta for the first time to play the Mexico Open this week. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis. Despite the struggles, hes not that far off. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. His success at this prompted FanShare Sports to enlist him as a guest writer, which evolved into him writing the weekly Under The Radar article. Im not really understanding why Henleys priced up here just below the elites. Torrey Pines South 5. He shot better than 71 once in the six rounds. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($7,100 DraftKings | $8,900 FanDuel). His best finish was a seventh-place finish in 2021, so he should be brimming with good vibes here. Millions in Winnings and Counting. Montgomerys putter has cooled off, and hes been exposed a bit in the elevated events. Aaron Baddeley Its not easy to get into the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard while navigating a season on Past Champion status, and hes in on merit to boot. The Chicagoland native has been playing fantasy golf since 1994, so he was just waiting for the Internet to catch up with him. Hes proving to be a well-rounded golfer with plenty of room for growth. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 props, odds, field: Expert DraftKings Round 4 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Patrick Cantlay, DraftKings Round 2 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Will Zalatoris. Lee (DraftKings) There are exciting things happening with Days game right now, primarily his significant improvement on approach shots. Shane Lowry (T-35, T-3, T-3), 3. His last eight starts have all been T-13 or better with five top-five finishes. Course Fit(compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. 2 Scottie Scheffler, Patrick Cantlay and Jon Rahm among the top names. NBA Best Ball Rankings for DraftKings and Underdog, DraftKings Showdown Single Round Projections. RELATED: Honda Classic picks 2023: Our experts love this sneaky good iron player at PGA National, Joseph Bramlett ($7,500 DraftKings | $9,300 FanDuel). At the 2022 Masters, McClure's model was all over Scottie Scheffler's first career major championship victory heading into the weekend. The field includes 44 of the top 50 players in the World Rankings, which is the most of any event since the 2022 Open Championship. His outright plays feature three major longshots who come in at more than 60-1. These DFS Golf cheat sheets will help you, The West Coast swing is already at an end as the PGA Tour moves to its seventh event of the season. On paper, El Camaleon should be an excellent course for him except its been horrible there. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Collin Morikawa (16-1, FanDuel) El Camaleon should suit Morikawa very well. Stop Guessing and Start Winning! Mayo won the 2020 FSWA Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and Golf Writer of the Year awards, along with the Fantasy Sports Trade Association Best Sports Betting Analyst award in 2020. What 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bets should you target? How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Rory McIlroy ($10,600 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). Kramer Hickok ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,300 FanDuel). RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for The American Express 2023, all from the expert who is up almost $700 on his PGA Tour picks this season, and find out. Caddie: Brendon Todd (+100) over Seamus Power (Bet365) Todd, a former winner here, has been playing some spectacular golf this Fall. McNealys longer than he is accurate, and the irons arent particularly great. PGA DFS: Picks, Projections, Ownership, Rankings & Strategy https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/2022-zurich-classic-odds-field-pga-tour-bets-picks/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Hes top 10 in driving accuracy over the past year, according to datagolf, and hes second in SG/approach in that span, as well. Released Wednesday. The next biggest story to watch is Viktor Hovland's quest for a three-peat in this event, something that has not been done on the PGA Tour since Steve Stricker won three consecutive John Deere Classics between 2009 and 2011. Hes posted two top-25 finishes in his past three starts and played well at Riviera for two rounds before fading to T-56. His game looks close, finishing T-5 at the Zozo Championship and T-21 at the CJ Cup in his only two PGA Tour starts this season.

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